Hereford v Stevenage - Obinna 2pts - 1st Goal Scorer 16-1 (Bluesq)

There is a strong possibility that ex Reading striker Eric Obinna will play up front for Stevenage. If that is the case, the (standout) 16-1 at Bluesq will look a long price.... (he is as short as 15/2 at willhill.com).

Update: Obinna didn't play before a goal was scored, so stakes returned. Bluesq had cut him into 11-1!

Monfils - 1.5 pts E/W 20-1 - Tennis Channel Open

Monfils has shown excellent form this year at Doha and Marseille. He has a kind draw and first serious test will be Murray/Kiefer in the qurater finals. The 20/1 could look generous in 7 days time...

1pt E/W 80-1 Ali Carter - Snooker Welsh Open

O'Sullivan is a worthy favourite, so it make sense either to back him or an E/W in the other half of the draw. Given you can never be guaranteed which O'Sullivan with 'turn up', my preference is for an each way shot from the opposite half.

There are several possibilities, but I am backing Ali Carter.

13-2 J P McManus winner of the Grand National - 4pts - Paddy Power

JP has the following horses entered for the National

Clan Royal - 7-1
Innox - 16-1
First Gold - 66-1
Risk Accessor - 66-1
Sport the Difference - 66-1
Ground Ball - 100-1

Paddy Power go 13-2 one of these horses wins (and any other JP horses I have missed!)

I am particularly keen on Clan Royal and Innox, both of which I think have a reasonable chance. This has to be value... Labrokes go 7-2 that one of these wins.

L'Ami - 1pt 25/1 E/W Cheltenham Gold Cup

I was impressed with L'Ami's run today in the Racing Post Chase. As expected he has cotracted in price at all UK Bookmaklers to (a top priced) 16/1.

Therefore, I'm please to be able to back the horse at an (unchanged) price of 25/1 at US Bookmakers sportsinteraction.com (global markets, don't you love them!).

This will be the final horse in my portfolio for the Gold Cup

- One Knight - 40/1
- Cornish Rebel - 33/1
- L'Ami - 25/1

All E/W... hope the Newbury Henessy form holds up.....

France v Italy - 1st Try scorer, Any Italian, (7-1), Lay France at 1.03 on Betfair.

Which France side will turn up? Even within games they have played both outsanding and hopeless Rugby. The bookies haven;t woroken up the the strength of the Italian side (compared to previosu sides). They are defensively very well organised and can score 1-2 tries per game.

I considered Italy 'on the handicap', but have instead decided on a different strategy:

- 2pts An Italian being 1st Tryscorer (7-1 generally)
- 2pts lay of France @ 1.03 (Betfair)... if Italy look like they have a reasoanble chance of winning at any stage (e.g become odds against) I may well lock in a profit... I'll post as an update any trades I mnake during the match.

Iris Bleu - 2pts win, Racing Post Chase - 22-1

Iris Bleau has one over this course/distance and will be suited by the soft groun. Martin Pipe is returning to form, so although this is a competitive race (all the markets leaders have chances), the 22/1 looks more than fair.

I was planning to go 1pt E.W but there has been a withdrawl, leaving 15 runners.

Arjan de Zeeuw - 1st Goalscorer - Carling Cup final at 50/1 (Hills - 1/2 1,2,3)

I'm having 1pt E/W on Arjan de Zeeuw to score the first goal in Carling Cup final at 50/1 (Hills - 1/2 1,2,3). He has been close to scoring on a couple of occasions recently and Man Utd. look vulnerable in defence to headed goals.

Millenium Royal - Rendelsham Hurdle - 1pt E/W 16-1

I think this is a great E/W bet (1/5 1,2,3) at totesport.com... not sure if they are going to pay me out on 3 places though! Doumen is proably gearing his campaign to the Stayers Hurdle, but Millenium Royal may still be fit enough.

There are enough doubts about the others horses for this to be a fine bet - I'm having 1pt E/W.

Rollins - Chrysler Classic 2pt win - 18-1

John Rollins has the strongest recent form and should be clear favourite for this tournamnet (most top players are at the WGC). The generally availible 18-1is more than fair... just disappointed I missed the 25-1 earlier in the week.

I'm having 2pts win.

WGC - 4 against the field (One per Quarter)

I'm having 1 pt win on each of the following, in order of confidence (they are in separate quarters):

Chris DiMarco - 33/1
Nick O'Hern - 66/1
David Toms - 25/1
Darren Clarke - 33/1

Just need one to win!

Champions League, 4 Timer (Day 1) - 2pts @ 20/1

I've placed a 4 timer on the following results:

Real Madrid to beat Arsenal
Liverpool to beat Benfica
Bayern Munich to beat Milan
PSV to beat Lyon

This pays approx. 20-1... not a certainty by any means. I've gone with the teams in form...

Peter Cavanagh - 1st Goal Scorer - 25/1 Accrington Stanley

Peter Cavangh has a strong goal scoring record (primarily via penalties.) The 25-1 at Paddy Power/Stan James is more then fair for 1st goalscorer.

Blackwell to sparkle! (Top Batsman/Bowler)

Blackwell may well make a signficant contribution to England's peformance v India (3 Tests). The fact there are only 3 tests also means that a realtive outsider is more likley to do well on top batsman/bowler markets.

I having 1pt win (20/1) at Totesport for 'Top England Bowler' and 1pt E/W (40/1) at Ladbrokes 'Top England Bowler.

Memphis Open - Max Miryni - 1pt E/W 33-1

Miryni is in the opposite side of the draw from market leaders Roddick and Haas, and therefore is E/W value... his first 2 matches are relatively easy so he should make it to the last 8.

Position after 8 weeks:

Position after 8 weeks:

Points staked on settled bets = 133
Points returned on settled bets= 157

Profit on settled bets = 24 pts/15%... not as much as I would like, but I've missed a couple of big prices winners in Football (Eagle (Watford) 1st Goal Scorer, 25-1) & Golf (Oberholser, Pebble Beach 33/1) , mainly due to work pressure.... which would have made a big difference to my profit level.

Points staked on unsettled bets = 33.5

Cheltenham is looking more and more favourable. I'd be very disappointed if I didn't finish significantly ahead.

Chelsea v Colchester - Robert Huth first/last goalscorer - 33-1

Robert Huth is a generous 33-1 for first/last goalscorer with William Hill. In a weakend Chelsea side he is playng centre back and will come up for set plays such as corners... likely to play a similar role to John Terry (in his place) in these situations.

There is even a possibity that at the end of the match, if Chelsea are drawing, that Huth will be moved up front, making the last goal scorer part of this bet particularly good value.

I'm having 1pt on each.

Tottenham v Wigan - Ledley King - 1st/2nd Goal Scorer - 25/1 - Double Whammy!

With 3 goals this season (all 1st goals!), Ledley King is a good bet @ 33-1 for 1st Goal Scorer. However, take the 25-1 at Skybet where they have a special offer on 'Skybet Live' matches where they payout on both 1st and 2nd goal scorer.

I'm having 1pt @ 25/1

Newcastle v Southampton - 1st Goal Scorer - Emre - 16-1 2pts

Emre has looked dangerous in recent matches and is a more than fair price at 16-1 (Betfred) to score the first goal (Newcastle are heavy favs. todo this). I'm having 2pts.

Liverpool v Man Utd - 1st Goal Scorer (Ronaldo), 1st Booking (Crouch)

Ronaldo has scored 7 goals form 17 games this season and his fair value @ 12-1 with William Hill for 1st goalscorer. Crouch is overpriced @ 33-1 for 1st booking (4 fro 20 this seaon). He is 12-1with Ladbrokes, the other firm to have priced up this martket.

I'm having 2pts on Ronaldo (1st Goal) and 1pt on Crouch (1st Booking)