Ladbrokes have formed a market as to how many winners will be priced with an SP > 16-1. With forecast good-soft ground, I would expect that there woudl be more than normal.
The current stats are as foillows:
2006 7/24 odds greater than 16/1
2005 5/24
2004 6/20
2003 3/20
2002 6/20
Given this analysis, I think Ladbrokes are more than fair in offering 5-2 on > 6 winners with SP > 16-1. 5-6 winners is also a lively runner at 2/1, the the others are poor value.
4 comments:
See my comment on BF Cheltenham forum and you may agree its not the value it first appears.
See my comments on the BF Cheltenham forum, and I think you may agree its not the value that it first appears.
See my comments on the BF Cheltenham forum, and I think you may agree its not the value that it first appears.
50-1 and 40-1 in first 4 races - not a bad start. Sublmimity at 16-1 - could have got you half way
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