Tuesday, February 27, 2007

Cheltenham - > 6 winners with SP > 16-1 - 8pts @ 5/2

Ladbrokes have formed a market as to how many winners will be priced with an SP > 16-1. With forecast good-soft ground, I would expect that there woudl be more than normal.

The current stats are as foillows:

2006 7/24 odds greater than 16/1
2005 5/24
2004 6/20
2003 3/20
2002 6/20

Given this analysis, I think Ladbrokes are more than fair in offering 5-2 on > 6 winners with SP > 16-1. 5-6 winners is also a lively runner at 2/1, the the others are poor value.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

See my comment on BF Cheltenham forum and you may agree its not the value it first appears.

Anonymous said...

See my comments on the BF Cheltenham forum, and I think you may agree its not the value that it first appears.

Anonymous said...

See my comments on the BF Cheltenham forum, and I think you may agree its not the value that it first appears.

Anonymous said...

50-1 and 40-1 in first 4 races - not a bad start. Sublmimity at 16-1 - could have got you half way