Sunday, July 27, 2008

SPOTY : Market Update

With the Olymnpics approaching, I have invested further on this market:

Additional 3pts on Sotherton at 20-1 (Will Hill) (adding to my 4pts at 33-1 earlier in the year).

Sotherton has sucessfully come through the last trials (with only a minor injury scare, due to mis-set hurdles!). She did enough to win the 4 event competiton, and goes into the Olympic Heptathlon as one of the favourites. William Hill have quoted her at (long) 10-1 for Gold in the event (hence why they are biggest at 20-1 for SPOTY of the year.) A Gold in this event would make her favourite for SPOTY (unless Tom Daley wins the diving).

2pts on Phillips Idowu (14-1) (Canbet)

He is now a slight odds-on chance to win the Triple Jump Gold. If neither Sotherton nor Daley win a gold, and Idowu wins a Gold I think SPOTY this year will be a head-to-head between Lewis Hamilton and Phillips Idowu. Hamilton is a very short price at 6-4 for SPOTY as he would almost certainly need to win the F1 championship to win SPOTY and even this may not be enough against a winning Olympian. The cyclists are also underpriced - the votes for them are likely to be split.

1 comment:

Rob Barnes said...

Hello Chris,
I agree that SPOTY is likely to go to an Olympic "personality", but I can't help thinking that Odowu will start to put people off if he gets too much media coverage. I'm not saying the SPOTY voters are racist - I'm talking about all those bloody piercings, including the one in his tongue! Can you see Mr and Mrs BBC going for that?!
Rob