Carl Edwards has qualified on pole for this race. He won this race last year and has an excellent chance to win again this year. His main rivals (Kyle Busch, Jimmie Johnson) did not do well year last year and have only qualified this year in 9th and 24th respectively.
I'm having 2.5 pts on Carl Edwards at Boylesports (max. allowed, I wanted 4pts). If/when Carl Edwards does well in this race he will surely shorten for the NASCAR Sprint Cup. I've therefore had 2pts at 5/1 on Carl Edwards for the Sprint Cup to cover my previous 10pts at 7/1 on Jimmie Johnson.
I am convinced the Sprint Cup is highluy likley to be between Kyle Busch (6/4), Carl Edwards (5/1) and Jimmie Johnson (6/1) with Busch too short in the betting - I;d make it 2/1, 5/2, 5/2 , 20/1 bar.
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