Saturday, November 14, 2009

SPOTY 2009 - Market review and new bet......



Those of you who follow my blog know I take a keen interest in betting for SPOTY. At present my portfolio has the following bets:

8pts Ennis 50-1 (now 4/1)
8pts Radcliffe 66-1 (now unquoted) - very unlikely
2pts Daley 200-1 (now 100/1)

I have now added what will probably be my final bet on this event. I've has 2pts E/W on Chrissie Wellington at 200/1. Your first response to this would probably be 'Chrissie Who?'. She is the three times Tri-athelete World Champion, winning the event again this year. I think there is a very real possibility that the Sports Editors who compile the the 'Top 10' list from which the public vote from will include her. Then it is up to the BBC how they present her achievements - she will then certainly have the publicity she needs.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chrissie_Wellington

What makes me especially keen on this bet is that Wellington has just won the prestigious 'Sunday Times Sportwoman of the Year', beating Ennis into 2nd place! (this competition has a similar voting methodology - list of 10, followed by public voting). Winners of this event have a good record in SPOTY. The past record is as follows:

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/sport/more_sport/article2902012.ece

2008 Nicole Cooke (unplaced)
2007 Victoria Pendleton (unplaced)
2006 (Doesn't seem to have been an award?)
2005 Zara Philips (1st SPOTY 2006)
2004 Kelly Holmes (1st SPOTY 2004)
2003 Pippa Funnell (unplaced)
2002 Paula Radcliffe (1st SPOTY 2002)
2001 Ellen MacArthur (2nd SPOTY 2001)
2000 Denise Lewis (2nd SPOTY 2000)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BBC_Sports_Personality_of_the_Year_Award

She is quoted at 100/1 at Coral at present - no other bookies quote her. I'd make her a 25/1 chance (at most).

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Surely the difference between Chrissie Alexander and the other previous winners you name is that no-one has actualy heard of Chrissie Alexander?

christrinder said...

We'll, it is Chrissie Wellington, but I get your point (in fact, your post probably emphasises it!).

However, if she is nominated by Sports Editors (who should be more knowledgable) this may significantly raise her profile.