Saturday, July 08, 2006

Williams v Skelton - Skelton to win Rds. 9-12 - 40-1 each rd.

Williams v Skelton is likely to be a close bout. Williams won last time on points, however it was a close decison. Typically, these fights finish inside the diatnce. Therefore it is a surpise to see the pts. decisions to be as short as 3-1 for each fighter.

Either fighter has the capcity to win this fight. Since the last fight, Williams has 'bulked up' and Skelton has had boxing 'lessons'. It is this additional weight for Williams that I believe could be his undoing. As the fight progresses, I think Williams' boxing skills will mean that he is ahead on pts. This will mean that Skelton will go forward and a Williams could suffciently tire to not get up from a big punch.

In addition, Williamns is never to be trusted at short prices due to his fragil mental state (remember Sproke?).

I'm having 1pt @ 40-1 on Skelton to win in each of the last 4 rds.

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