The record of players in the final 2 ball pairing is outstanding in the Masters, so Immelman (-11) is clearly the most likely winner. With 18 holes to go, I can see the following scenario unfolding:
- Woods (-5) falls away from adopting a 'Win or Bust' strategy
- Snedeker (-9), Casey (-7) and Flesch (-8) drop shots under the pressure of being amongst the leaders (they have having limted Masters experience)
Cink (-4) has more much Masters experience than the obove players (other than Woods). He is unlikley to win the tournament, but odds of 33-1 are reasonable. I'd expect a score of 69/70 which may well be enough to get him placed (top 3) - I'd make it a 4-1 chance (at most). The other players at -2 or works are probably too far beind to win the tournament.
Most bookies are going 1/3 1,2. Sportingbet how E/W odds of 1/5 1,2,3 which are much more favourable - you are effectively getting 7-1 on him finishing in the top 3. I've therfore had 2pts E/W on Stewart Cink.
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