Sunday, January 15, 2006

Australin Men's Open - Ancic @ 100-1 (Win) , Nieminen @ 150-1 (E/W)

I think that Federer is an opposable favourite at 1-2. I was tempted by a 'scattegun' approach backing a selction of players E/W at big prices in the opposite 1/2 of the draw from Federer, but I have decided the best approach would be just to select one.

The players on my shortlist (and best prices) were:

Roddick - 10-1 (4th 1/4)
Nalbandian - 16-1 (3rd 1/4)
Blake - 28-1 (3rd 1/4)
Ancic - 100-1 (3rd 1/4)
Nieminen - 150-1 (3rd 1/4)

As you can see, the issue I was faced is that most of the players I liked the look of were in the 3rd quarter.

Blake is scheduled to meet the winner of a Nalbandian/Nieminen clash in the 1/4 finals ... I just don't want to back Blake or Nalbandian E/W at prices < 33-1 given they are scheduled against each other so early.

Therefore my selections were

1. Ancic - 2pt win @ 100-1 Ancic (Centrebet). I'd would have like to have gone E/W but the highest price that allowed this was 50-1

2. Nieminen - 1 pt E/W @ 150-1 (generally availible).

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