Looking back over historic records, to win the Top Jockey trophy you will probably need to ride 3-4 winners (especially now the Festival is over 4 days).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cheltenham_Festival
Paul Nicholls is likely to have a strong festival. Ruby Walsh is a short price for this (approximately even money) as he is Paul Nicholl's No.1 Jockey. However, in each of the Gold Cup and Champion Chase Nicholls has two short price horses (which are not significantly different in price). Therefore the Nicholl's No.2 Jockey Sam Thomas has a good chance of riding winners in these races. The added bonus is if he rides these winners, this will stop Walsh from winning the races!
In other Cheltenham races Walsh will obviously be riding the more fancied Nicholl's horses, however Thomas is likley to pick up plenty of decent rides during the week. I've therefore had 4pts @ 12-1 on Sam Thomas at William Hill.
Result: Sam Thomas had one winner (unplaced as Top Chelt. Jockey) -4pts
1 comment:
Hi Tom,
What are you Cheltenham fancies so far - I have backed Muirhead for the Supreme Novices - what do you think?
Email me back at robertwburns@tiscali.co.uk
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