Sunday, May 04, 2008

O'Sullivan to win Snooker World Chamionship with 1 seesion to spare - 4pts 6/1 - Paddy Power


With comfortable victories on the way to the final, O'Sullivan has shown he is both in top form and, most importantly, has the correct state of mind for the World Championship. The bookmakers 'line' is an 18-10 win for O'Sullivan which I wouldn't disagree with.

However, he has a chance of destroying Carter and avoiding a final session. To avoid going to a final session O'Sullivan will need to restrict Carter to 6 frames or less before he reaches a winning 18 frames. I'd make this a 4-1 chance (not from stats., just a 'gut' feel.) The reason for thsi is a don't think that the score schanes are a 'norma' distribution - if O'Sullivan goes a large number of frames up, Carter could lose heart.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hi Chris,

Can't seem to find this one on their site - maybe it's been pulled?

christrinder said...

It was under 'Specials'..